Lukyanov: Obama was cautious, refusing to supply weapons to Ukraine

The US has decided to refrain from supplying weapons to Ukraine. This was announced yesterday at the end of the White House meeting between President Barack Obama and German Chancellor Angela Merkel.


According to the German Ambassador to Washington, Peter Wittig, during the conversation with the German Chancellor, President Obama agreed on the need "to give some space for those diplomatic, political efforts that are underway" to resolve the conflict in Ukraine. "The two leaders exchanged views on that issue and there was unity by them not to impose, or not to go forward with, the delivery of lethal defensive weapons at this time," TASS cited Wittig.

"I think we have to weigh carefully whether this would inject an additional element that could be a pretext or a trigger for counter-reaction by the Russian leadership," he said.

 

The editor-in-chief of the Russia in Global Affairs magazine, Fyodor Lukyanov, told Vestnik Kavkaza that the US decision not to supply weapons to Kiev is not final, because today it is not clear what will be going on in Ukraine."In Germany it is believed that weapons will not lead to anything good, and they will certainly not help resolve the conflict. Merkel publicly defended this position and also apparently in private conversations with Obama. Obama is not a supporter of supplying weapons, so he listens to such arguments. He is a cautious man who doesn't like war, although, paradoxically, he has to do it," the expert said.Describing the general political atmosphere in the United States, he pointed out the differences between the President and many influential politicians. "In Congress, and even in the presidential administration, it is believed that if the peace process is broken, Ukraine must be given the means to defend itself. Such a view is quite widespread," he said.Speaking about the possible impact of this decision on developments in Ukraine, the analyst suggested that "if the current situation continues, when big war has ended, weapons won't be supplied. If the truce is violated, then the chances increase sharply," Fyodor Lukyanov said.The expert expressed the opinion that Kiev did not expect supplies of US weapons: "It was clear from the beginning that there is no single solution to this issue in NATO. The big countries are not very eager to supply weapons to Ukraine, because they fear an escalation of the conflict. I believe that Kiev is aware that this is not the most likely course of events," the editor-in- chief of the Russia in Global Affairs magazine said."This situation, a frozen conflict with an unstable truce, but still a truce, suits everyone, including Ukraine. In my opinion, the Kiev authorities do not really want to change the Constitution, as the Minsk Agreements require. For them it is more profitable to freeze the conflict," Lukyanov summed up.

The editor-in-chief of the Russia in Global Affairs magazine, Fyodor Lukyanov, told Vestnik Kavkaza that the US decision not to supply weapons to Kiev is not final, because today it is not clear what will be going on in Ukraine.


"In Germany it is believed that weapons will not lead to anything good, and they will certainly not help resolve the conflict. Merkel publicly defended this position and also apparently in private conversations with Obama. Obama is not a supporter of supplying weapons, so he listens to such arguments. He is a cautious man who doesn't like war, although, paradoxically, he has to do it," the expert said.


Describing the general political atmosphere in the United States, he pointed out the differences between the President and many influential politicians. "In Congress, and even in the presidential administration, it is believed that if the peace process is broken, Ukraine must be given the means to defend itself. Such a view is quite widespread," he said.


Speaking about the possible impact of this decision on developments in Ukraine, the analyst suggested that "if the current situation continues, when big war has ended, weapons won't be supplied. If the truce is violated, then the chances increase sharply," Fyodor Lukyanov said.


The expert expressed the opinion that Kiev did not expect supplies of US weapons: "It was clear from the beginning that there is no single solution to this issue in NATO. The big countries are not very eager to supply weapons to Ukraine, because they fear an escalation of the conflict. I believe that Kiev is aware that this is not the most likely course of events," the editor-in- chief of the Russia in Global Affairs magazine said.


"This situation, a frozen conflict with an unstable truce, but still a truce, suits everyone, including Ukraine. In my opinion, the Kiev authorities do not really want to change the Constitution, as the Minsk Agreements require. For them it is more profitable to freeze the conflict," Lukyanov summed up.

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