New Putin majority

New Putin majority


By Vestnik Kavkaza

According to the Public Opinion Foundation (FOM), the electoral support for Vladimir Putin has reached its highest level in the last seven years. When Russia received two new constituents of the federation, 66% of respondents answered “Putin” to the question “Whom would you vote for if presidential elections took place this Sunday?”

In a few months it turned out that Moscow is the city where the level of dissatisfaction with Vladimir Putin is lowest. The results were published by the Center of Political Analysis, which held a survey trying to find out who is included in the “Putin majority.”

Maxim Zharov, expert of the Center of Political Analysis, is sure that the “Putin majority” still exists: “The majority consists of several subgroups. There are successful wealthy people, as well as people with lower incomes and less adapted to the current economic reality. By the moment the term of the “Putin majority” appeared in 1999, ahead of the parliamentary elections, the “Putin majority” was considered to be a complicated conglomerate of several subgroups. These subgroups could join the “Putin majority” or withdraw from it from time to time.”

Speaking about Moscow residents, Zharov notes that “after the protest wave of 2011-2012, we can say that the period of disappointment with Putin’s policy has come to an end in Moscow. According to the Public Opinion Foundation, in the last two years 38% of people aged from 18 to 24 have changed their attitude toward Putin’s policy to a positive one. 51% of respondents didn’t change their attitude to Putin’s policy. Only 4% of people changed it to a negative one. We believe this means that young people are an integral part of the “Putin majority.” Young people are more patriotic and pragmatic toward the current government’s policy. When Crimea joined Russia in the spring, young people were enthusiastic about the event, just like all other age groups.”

Zharov says that “in the future, events which will happen in Ukraine will influence Vladimir Putin’s rating. People often ask: what will happen to Putin’s rating, if the Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics fail? The answer can be given only when Putin presents his interpretation of the developments. Why was Putin’s speech on Crimea considered positively by the audience, including young people? Because his explanations were convincing and clear. If the authorities could explain the motives of their deeds in the context of the situation in Ukraine as clearly and convincingly, of course Putin’s rating won’t go down.”

 

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