Turkey supports Erdogan and AKP at 48% before elections

Turkey supports Erdogan and AKP at 48% before elections

The people's support of current Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan at the general elections, which will be held on June 24, increased by 1% this week, according to the survey carried out by the polling firm Gezici.

Six candidates will run for the presidency in Turkey: Recep Tayyip Erdogan (nominated by the ruling Justice and Development Party), Muharrem Ince (Turkey's main opposition Republican People's Party), Meral Aksener (the opposition IYI Party), Selahattin Demirtas (the opposition People's Democratic Party), Temel Karamollaoglu (the opposition Felicity (Saadet) Party) and Dogu Perincek (Vatan Party).

Erdoğan garnered 48.1% support in the first round of votes, whereas Republican People’s Party (CHP) candidate Muharrem İnce had 29.1% (27.8% last week), İYİ Party candidate Meral Akşener had 11.4%, Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP) candidate Selahattin Demirtaş had 10%, Felicity Party (SP) candidate Temel Karamollaoğlu had 1.2% and ultranationalist Homeland Party (VP) candidate Doğu Perinçek had 0.1%.

The poll also indicates that support for Erdoğan’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) in the parliamentary elections may be at 48.5%, with the CHP+İYİ Party+ SP - at 39.8%; the HDP - at 11.5%.

The survey was carried out among 1812 people across 12 Turkish provinces on June 16-17.

Director of the Center for Modern Turkish Studies Amur Hajiyev said, speaking with Vestnik Kavkaza, noted that the probability of the second round is very high. "Polls have been conducted earlier, and most of them show that during the first round Erdogan will not be able to get 51% of the vote, yet Turkey will have to undergo the second round - at least, in the presidential election," the expert explained.

Commenting on the possible outcome of the parliamentary elections, he noted that surprises are not excluded. "Much will depend on whether the pro-Kurdish Peace and Democracy Party can overcome this electoral threshold of 10%, and if it does, I think that the arrangement of political parties in the parliament will not change much. But if the threshold is not met, then serious changes are possible," Amur Hajiyev said.


Vestnik Kavkaza

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